Has AI capability surpassed the fastest mainframe? What does the next #supercomputer look like with a #GPU architecture enabling AI? In personal computing we used our brains (human) with the #Google database...how powerful is personal computing ( #AI enhanced)?
These two gentlemen are casting the net of AGI before our imaginations as a warning of the reality soon to come. And they are experts. (I'm only the messenger.) The reader should follow their advice that they are giving publicly---I am by way of (Twitter) "X".
I was involved in undermining the Y2K problem (by developing 44 solutions) that were noticed or even triggered by the NSA, Bob Martin of Mitre, Senator Robert Bennett and the "2000 Year Commission" president, John Koskinen. I have been doing OSINT work for over thirty years and developed strategies AFTER 9/11 as well as a warning about it six weeks before the tragedy (sent to a former SECNAV). However, my warning---in preparation for a meeting with General Morrison on counterintelligence---had too few details about the incoming attack.
In light of such past work, I am watching the development of AGI; the reader is advised to be learning from the two men cited here. Our president strongly supports robotics and few in his Administration sees the dangers.
I am a Poppop to nine---the reason why I am gathering this research about the future. It looks like AGI doesn't provide a future for my grand children. Do you have a good argument that it does?
Can AGI Counter AGI?
In theory a football team's offense should advance 50% of the time against another football team's defense. But the smarter coach or the better player changes those probabilities. One of course may have to factor in the weather or the fact that you probably will get 3 downs to move the ball. And how likely a fumble? How likely a sack? An interception?
The roaming AGI offensive malware that is attacking the infrastructure of the Internet (terminal cancer) has a 50% chance of succeeding against a policing, defensive AGI package. But are there intrinsic factors that give the advantage one way or the other? DARPA needs to know. Homeland Security needs to prepare.
The universal sense of patching is too slow a mitigation. And blocking or containing or even attempting to eliminate would surely be outmaneuvered by the offensive AGI.
The universal sense that the Internet, itself, is not harmed needs to go. Even if every nation-state wants the health of the Internet, you haven't accounted for every adversary. Computer architects need to take seriously that though they are enemies often...the nation-states----they are all married by the Internet.
What does malware look like in 2030 given AGI? And what is it capable of doing?
There are two catastrophic elements to AGI warfare...
First, you don't know everything about the adversaries systems which means you may have a critical mistake. (Neither President Kennedy nor General Curtis Le May knew at the time of the Cuban Missile Crisis that Russian subs had nuclear-tipped torpedoes.) Thus, the AGI analysis, prediction, initiation based on data bases may not know (Chathan House, 2017) which nukes will fail to launch...or be re-directed...or launch but fail to detonate...or detonate over the homeland---causing an EMP footprint.
Second, the nanosecond speed---requiring automatic mitigation--- may be available in Chinese or Russian systems when there is an electronic mistake, but is it available in North Korea, Iran, mafias, terrorist groups that succeed in attacking?
In effect every game player must have exactly the same systems. And, of course, they won't. And so there is the very high probability that we get into war by accident...by the incompleteness in one of the adveraries system.
Home schooling should dominate American education because the main teachers in a child's life are the parents. School systems are more ...
